This month’s insights are packed tighter than a 40-foot container, and just as globally mobile. From the freight market’s shifting currents to the rising intelligence (and risks) of AI, we’re covering the real forces moving supply chains across the region. We start with a freight market that’s anything but still — from blank sailings to congestion at key Chinese ports and typhoon forecasts that are set to make waves (literally). Next, we explore AI — not just how to use it smarter in your supply chain, but also how its increasing presence could open cyber doors you’d rather keep bolted shut. It's high-tech meets high-alert. We turn our regional lens to New Zealand — our friendly neighbour and ninth-largest trading partner — and unpack why their economic alignment with Australia offers stable, smart opportunities. Meanwhile, for those watching the markets, we’ve plotted the key May data points that may push the AUD up or down like a see-saw in a trade wind. No guesswork — just clean economic signals. We round things out with a focus on sustainability (because resilience isn’t just about bouncing back, it’s about building better), and a spotlight on key awareness dates across the month — including mental health, reconciliation, and even a nod to Star Wars Day for the die-hard fans. Because in supply chains, as in galaxies far, far away… things can get complicated fast. So grab your coffee, take five, and click through to the full articles below. We’re here to keep your supply chain informed, alert, and one step ahead.
Global Freight Market Outlook – Navigating a Shifting Landscape
The global freight market continues to grapple with volatility across both ocean and air cargo sectors, shaped by geopolitical tensions, shifting sourcing strategies, and regulatory changes. Carriers are actively deploying blank sailings to balance capacity against weaker demand, especially on key lanes like China to the USA, where volumes have dropped substantially in the wake of continued US tariffs and evolving trade policy. Some shipping lines have even suspended transpacific services temporarily, diverting vessels to higher-yielding routes such as intra-Asia or services to the Middle East and India.
A significant contributor to the volume drop from China to the US is the enduring impact of Section 301 tariffs. While a 90-day suspension of tariff hikes has been in place under the Trump administration’s review period, businesses and carriers remain cautious. Adding to the complexity, the Biden administration has announced potential revisions to the de minimis threshold—a longstanding rule that allows goods valued under USD 800 to enter the USA duty-free. This rule has overwhelmingly benefitted Chinese e-commerce sellers. Proposed changes specifically target goods originating from China, aiming to close loopholes and level the playing field for domestic retailers. If implemented, these changes could reduce the flow of low-value parcels and drive up landed costs, with a ripple effect on airfreight demand and e-commerce fulfillment networks.
Meanwhile, freight rates on lanes from India and Southeast Asia to the USA are on the rise, as shippers seek alternatives to China amid the ongoing trade friction. Carriers have announced General Rate Increases (GRIs) out of India and SEA, capitalising on strong demand and diverted volumes. Manufacturing migration to these regions is also driving capacity constraints, which may cause rates to firm up further over the coming weeks. The Middle East–USA lane is similarly experiencing upward pressure on rates, fuelled by increased regional demand, tighter space, and equipment repositioning challenges.
On the European front, port congestion is re-emerging as a key concern, particularly in northern ports such as Antwerp, Hamburg, and Rotterdam. Weather disruptions, vessel bunching, and ongoing labour shortages have led to delays in vessel berthing and cargo handling. The impact is particularly pronounced for intermodal shipments and inland transport, with downstream effects on schedule reliability. Forwarders are warning of potential backlogs into May if conditions persist, and shippers with JIT (Just-in-Time) supply chains are being urged to build in lead time buffers.
In China, congestion at key export hubs like Shanghai and Ningbo is growing, driven in part by cancelled sailings, vessel bunching, and shifting service patterns. Several vessels are currently waiting at anchor, and port handling delays are beginning to impact connecting services, especially to Oceania. Australia, while not directly affected by the US–China trade conflict, is nonetheless seeing schedule reliability impacted by congestion in China and Southeast Asia. Typhoon season, which begins in May, also poses a significant threat. The latest forecast from WestPacWx anticipates 27 named storms, 18 typhoons, and 7 super typhoons in the Western Pacific basin this year, which could further disrupt shipping schedules across East Asia.
For the Australian market, the outlook remains mixed. On one hand, spot rates from China to Australia are relatively stable, benefiting from lower ex-China volumes and available capacity. However, as vessels are redeployed and alternative sourcing locations like India and Southeast Asia grow in prominence, Australia could see increased competition for capacity on those lanes. If global uncertainty persists, there may be pressure on both rates and reliability, particularly heading into the second half of the year.
In airfreight, capacity remains tight across key markets, particularly for time-sensitive cargo such as electronics, pharma, and high-value consumer goods. With ocean freight delays, some shippers are turning to air, especially on intra-Asia and Asia–Europe lanes. However, rate volatility remains a concern, and any surge in e-commerce volumes or reduction in passenger belly space could cause sudden shifts.
Maximise Your Results with AI: Why the Power is in the Prompt
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming industries across the globe, but for businesses in supply chain and logistics, one of the simplest ways to gain an edge is often overlooked — the prompt.
AI platforms like ChatGPT can be game-changing tools for streamlining operations, improving forecasting, enhancing decision-making, and communicating more effectively across your value chain. However, what many users don’t realise is that the quality of the output depends heavily on the clarity of the input. In fact, it’s estimated that up to 80% of the quality of an AI-generated response is influenced by how the prompt is written.
So, what exactly is a prompt? In basic terms, it’s the instruction you give the AI. But a good prompt does more than just ask a question — it provides context, structure, and a clear outcome. Think of AI as your smart assistant or junior analyst: the better the brief, the more useful the response.
For example, a generic prompt like “help with freight issues” might yield vague or surface-level suggestions. In contrast, a specific, structured prompt like “Compare sea freight and airfreight options for urgent shipments from India to Sydney, including cost estimates, carbon footprint, and delivery timelines in table format” gives ChatGPT the information it needs to deliver a meaningful, actionable result.
In a supply chain and logistics setting, this becomes especially powerful. From route planning to supplier negotiation, from inventory analysis to sustainability reporting — AI can assist, accelerate, and amplify your capabilities. But to maximise these benefits, it pays to know how to craft the right prompts. Here are a few high-impact examples:
“List 5 cost-saving strategies for managing rising freight costs from China to Australia, with pros and cons.”
“Create a supplier evaluation matrix that includes ESG compliance, risk level, delivery performance, and cost efficiency.”
“Draft a communication to clients explaining how recent global port disruptions may affect delivery timelines, with suggested contingency plans.”
These kinds of prompts can save hours of research, spark new thinking, and help smaller teams perform at a higher level. Whether you’re in procurement, operations, warehouse management or compliance — AI can become a valuable partner in daily tasks and strategic planning.
Even more impressively, you can use meta-prompts to shape how AI works with you. Try starting with:
“Before answering, ask me any clarifying questions you need to fully understand my request.”
or
“Structure your answer into (1) Summary, (2) Detail, and (3) Next Steps.”
These simple instructions help ChatGPT become more efficient, responsive, and aligned with your goals.
🔍 Did You Know?
The clearer your prompt, the smarter the outcome. A well-structured instruction can unlock highly tailored reports, summaries, risk registers, cost comparisons, or even client communications — all in a matter of seconds.
At Complete Global Solutions, we’re embracing the role of AI as part of the modern logistics toolkit — not to replace expertise, but to enhance it. Used wisely, AI can help you move faster, respond smarter, and plan better in an increasingly complex supply chain environment.
Ready to start using AI more effectively in your operations? Begin with one powerful prompt — and watch the potential unfold.
Global Economic Updates That May Affect the AUD – May 2025
Disclaimer: Exchange rate movements are influenced by a complex range of domestic and international factors. Businesses are advised to consult their banks or financial advisors to develop currency strategies best suited to their risk profile and operational needs.
May 1st – USA: Personal Income and Personal Spending
These figures are key indicators of consumer activity in the US. Higher income and spending typically support stronger economic growth, which may lift the USD and put downward pressure on the AUD due to USD/AUD pair dynamics.
May 1st – Australia: Balance of Trade
Australia’s trade surplus or deficit directly impacts the AUD. A higher-than-expected trade surplus (driven by strong commodity exports like iron ore and coal) tends to support the AUD. A decline, especially amid weakening Chinese demand, could exert downward pressure.
May 2nd – USA: ISM Manufacturing PMI
This index tracks US manufacturing activity. Readings above 50 indicate expansion. Strong data suggests robust economic activity, reinforcing expectations of tighter Fed policy – typically bullish for the USD and bearish for the AUD.
May 2nd – EU: Inflation Rate YoY Flash
Higher-than-expected inflation may influence the European Central Bank’s rate outlook. While indirect, hawkish EU monetary policy can drive global yield adjustments, affecting AUD positioning in carry trades.
May 2nd – USA: Non-Farm Payrolls / Unemployment Rate
A closely watched report. Strong payroll gains and low unemployment reinforce expectations of Fed tightening or sustained higher rates – potentially strengthening the USD against the AUD.
May 8th – USA: Fed Interest Rate Decision / Press Conference
Markets are particularly sensitive to Fed policy changes and forward guidance. A surprise hike or hawkish tone may result in AUD depreciation as investors seek yield in USD assets. As of April, the Fed has maintained its benchmark rate at 5.25%-5.50%, but May’s guidance will be closely analysed.
(Source: U.S. Federal Reserve – https://www.federalreserve.gov)
May 8th – UK: BoE Interest Rate Decision / Monetary Policy Report
The Bank of England’s rate decision may influence broader risk sentiment and global bond markets. A dovish BoE may weaken the GBP and support AUD crosses (e.g. AUD/GBP), while a hawkish outlook could have the opposite effect.
May 9th – China: Balance of Trade / Exports YoY / Imports YoY
As Australia’s largest trading partner, China’s trade data significantly impacts the AUD. Weaker import demand from China or slowing exports can signal reduced industrial activity, affecting Australian export volumes and weakening the AUD.
May 10th – China: Inflation Rate YoY
A low inflation print could raise concerns about deflation in China, impacting demand for commodities – a critical factor for Australia. Conversely, stable or rising inflation could point to recovery, supporting the AUD.
May 13th – USA: Core Inflation Data (MoM / YoY)
The Fed closely watches core inflation (excluding food and energy). A persistent rise may keep rate hike risks alive, supporting USD strength and potentially weakening the AUD.
May 15th – USA: Retail Sales
Retail activity serves as a proxy for economic strength. Strong results could raise expectations of continued Fed tightening, again placing pressure on the AUD.
May 17th – China: Industrial Production YoY / Retail Sales YoY
These indicators provide a snapshot of economic momentum. Disappointing results could point to slowing demand for Australian exports, particularly raw materials, which may soften AUD. Strong data would have the opposite effect.
May 20th – Australia: RBA Interest Rate Decision
This is the most significant domestic event for the AUD in May. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained a cash rate of 4.35% as of April 2025. Any change in rate or hawkish/dovish language will directly affect the AUD’s trajectory.
(Source: Reserve Bank of Australia – https://www.rba.gov.au)
May 21st – UK: Balance of Trade
Like the EU data, UK trade balances can influence investor confidence in global growth. Large deficits may increase risk aversion and reduce demand for risk currencies like the AUD.
May 29th – Japan: Consumer Confidence
Japanese consumer confidence influences local economic sentiment and, to a lesser extent, global capital flows. Not a major driver for the AUD unless it affects the broader risk appetite in Asia-Pacific.
May 29th – USA: GDP Growth Rate QoQ
A strong GDP reading reinforces the case for sustained Fed hawkishness, while a weaker print may shift expectations toward rate cuts. Either outcome can affect the AUD depending on its implications for global growth and USD strength.
Businesses exposed to currency fluctuations should review their hedging strategies and consult professional advisors to prepare for potential volatility throughout May.
Australia and New Zealand: Stronger Together in Trade and Partnership
Australia and New Zealand enjoy one of the closest and most integrated bilateral relationships in the world, underpinned by geography, shared history, cultural ties, and a long-standing commitment to open markets. As of 2023, New Zealand ranked as Australia’s 9th largest two-way trading partner, with total trade valued at AUD $31.7 billion (DFAT, 2024). This partnership spans not only goods but also services, tourism, and investment, making it a critical element of Australia’s regional economic and strategic landscape.
Both countries operate under the Australia–New Zealand Closer Economic Relations Trade Agreement (CER), one of the world’s most comprehensive and successful free trade agreements. In force since 1983, the CER has virtually eliminated trade barriers, allowing for the free flow of goods, most services, and people across the Tasman. This has fostered a high degree of economic integration, regulatory alignment, and trust between both nations.
A key pillar of this partnership is the mutual recognition of each other’s regulatory and quarantine standards, especially in the movement of agricultural and food products. New Zealand has consistently demonstrated the capacity to comply with Australia’s strict biosecurity, labelling, and customs protocols, making trade not only efficient but also secure. This is vital considering New Zealand’s strong export profile in dairy, meat, wine, timber, and horticulture — products that require high levels of quality assurance and compliance.
In terms of goods trade, Australia’s top exports to New Zealand include petroleum, passenger motor vehicles, pharmaceutical products, and meat, while New Zealand’s main exports to Australia are dairy products, aluminium, food preparations, and wood (DFAT, 2024). In services, the relationship is equally robust — the two-way trade in services exceeded AUD $9 billion in 2023, encompassing education, tourism, professional services, and finance.
Tourism is another area where the partnership thrives. New Zealand is one of Australia’s largest sources of short-term visitors. Over 1.2 million New Zealanders visited Australia in 2023, while Australians made up more than 30% of all international arrivals into New Zealand (Tourism NZ, 2024). This two-way movement supports aviation, hospitality, retail, and cultural exchange, helping to sustain thousands of jobs on both sides of the Tasman.
Beyond economics, the two nations collaborate closely on regional security, climate change, and sustainable development, particularly across the Pacific. They share similar views on rules-based trade, democratic governance, and multilateralism, making them natural allies on the geopolitical stage. Both are active members of CPTPP and the Pacific Islands Forum, and align on climate mitigation and environmental goals, particularly in renewable energy and carbon reduction strategies.
Investment flows between the two countries are also substantial. As of 2023, New Zealand had AUD $69.1 billion invested in Australia, while Australia had $75.5 billion invested in New Zealand (ABS, 2024). This cross-border investment supports innovation, infrastructure, and long-term growth, with many Australian companies operating seamlessly in the New Zealand market and vice versa.
The trans-Tasman partnership is a model for regional cooperation. With a shared commitment to open trade, regulatory integrity, and future-focused policies, Australia and New Zealand stand stronger together. For businesses, this means a reliable and well-understood market for expansion, collaboration, and resilience — particularly in a world facing increasing global uncertainty.
The Importance of Trade Compliance: Why Getting Your HS Codes Right Matters
In an increasingly complex and uncertain global trade environment, correctly classifying your goods is more than just a paperwork exercise — it’s a critical part of your supply chain compliance strategy. With shifting tariffs, evolving trade agreements, and heightened scrutiny at international borders, ensuring the accuracy of your Harmonised System (HS) code declarations can mean the difference between smooth clearance and costly delays or penalties.
HS codes serve as a universal language for classifying traded products and are used globally for customs tariffs, import/export controls, and trade statistics. The problem? Many businesses overlook just how nuanced classification can be. Factors like what a product is made from, where it was manufactured, and what it’s ultimately used for can all affect its correct classification — and missteps can be costly.
Using an incorrect HS code, even unintentionally, can lead to customs delays, denied entry, unnecessary duties, or even legal action. Worse still, deliberately misclassifying goods to reduce duties or avoid restrictions is considered a serious offence in many jurisdictions and can result in severe penalties, reputational damage, and even criminal charges. It’s simply not worth the risk.
This is where using a licensed customs broker becomes invaluable. These professionals are trained to interpret complex tariff schedules and understand the fine print of classification rules. A licensed broker will not only help you apply the correct HS code but also assess whether your goods are eligible for any preferential trade agreements — which can save you a significant amount of money on duty rates.
Taking shortcuts in classification might feel like a quick win, but it can unravel fast. Short-term gains often lead to long-term costs when customs audits reveal inconsistencies or when authorities impose retroactive duties. Instead, building a culture of trade compliance within your business ensures you’re protected from surprises and better positioned to take advantage of global opportunities.
Trade compliance also contributes to overall operational efficiency. Accurate classification helps avoid disputes, rework, or cargo being held up at ports. It allows for more accurate landed cost calculations, better inventory forecasting, and more predictable supply chain timelines — all of which contribute to improved customer satisfaction and reduced bottom-line costs.
Moreover, as governments globally tighten regulations around origin verification, product safety, and sustainability declarations, having a robust classification and compliance process in place will become even more critical. Businesses that prioritise compliance today are not just avoiding penalties; they are building resilience and trust for tomorrow.
In short, correct HS code classification is not just a regulatory box to tick — it’s a smart business decision. By investing in proper documentation, using licensed experts, and refusing to cut corners, companies can reduce risk, unlock duty savings, and ensure smooth passage of goods across borders. In today’s fast-moving trade landscape, compliance isn’t a burden — it’s your competitive advantage.
Resilient by Design: Why Sustainable Supply Chains Outperform in Times of Crisis
In today’s climate of economic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, and environmental disruption, one truth is becoming increasingly clear: businesses that have proactively embedded sustainability into their supply chains are more resilient, adaptable, and future-ready.
While many organisations are still playing catch-up, leading companies are taking deliberate steps to understand not only who their suppliers are — but who their suppliers’ suppliers are. This deep visibility isn’t just a compliance checkbox. It enables businesses to trace materials, assess risk exposure, and act swiftly when disruption strikes. With modern threats ranging from extreme weather to trade instability, proactive supply chain mapping is now a frontline defence.
Sustainability-driven supply chains are also more collaborative. Rather than operating in isolation, forward-thinking companies are partnering with suppliers, logistics providers, and even competitors to raise industry standards. From fair trade sourcing to joint decarbonisation efforts, this cooperative approach fosters innovation, spreads risk, and builds long-term trust.
Critically, sustainable supply chains are designed to be proactive — not reactive. Companies undertaking scenario analysis, stress testing, and climate risk assessments are better equipped to anticipate vulnerabilities and build contingency plans. This mindset shift from “just-in-time” to “just-in-case” is proving vital in a world of cascading crises.
Beyond managing shocks, there are real operational benefits to sustainable practices. Efficient waste handling and reduced reliance on hazardous chemicals reduce regulatory risk and lower clean-up costs. Anti-bribery and anti-corruption practices create more secure, predictable business environments. And policies to prevent modern slavery don’t just satisfy reporting requirements — they protect brand value, attract ethical investors, and uphold human dignity.
Carbon reduction strategies — from shifting to lower-emission freight to investing in energy-efficient production — also generate tangible results. Companies embracing decarbonisation are finding it improves cost efficiency, boosts stakeholder confidence, and opens access to green financing and carbon-conscious markets.
At the heart of sustainable supply chains is an all-of-company commitment. Procurement, logistics, finance, and executive leadership work together toward shared ESG goals. This unified approach aligns internal priorities and creates a culture of accountability and innovation — something siloed departments simply cannot achieve on their own.
Importantly, embedding sustainability does not mean ignoring profitability. Quite the opposite. Research shows that companies with strong ESG frameworks outperform their peers in long-term profitability and crisis recovery. Investors are watching, customers are choosing, and regulators are tightening. The direction is clear.
So while the world continues to grapple with instability, the imperative remains: we must build fairer, cleaner, and more ethical supply chains. Not because it’s a marketing slogan — but because it’s the smartest, most resilient way to do business.
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